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Fundamental Analysis

Fears Of Supply Chains Wreckage Drive Commodity Prices up, Put Dent on European Currencies

Natural gas prices in Europe hubs renewed rally on Friday due to concerns about cold weather forecasts and continued uncertainty about Russian gas supplies to Europe in the light of military action in...

Ukraine Conflict Risks Overwhelm Euro as Investors Flee European Assets

Another spike in the dollar FRA-OIS spread (an indicator of credit and liquidity risk in the interbank market) suggests that stress mounts in the dollar funding market. And although it is far from the...

FOMO Friday: GBPAUD Falls 500 Pips

GBPAUD SinksIt’s been another dramatic week for financial markets. As the Russian invasion of Ukraine continues and fighting intensifies, we’ve seen plenty of key moves across the board. In the FX...

Buyers Ditch Russian Oil on Growing Sanctions Risk

Oil prices hit a new high today - $116.50/bbl for WTI and $119.70/bbl for Brent. The last time the market saw such prices was in October 2008. The Ukrainian conflict is increasingly affecting oil...

The Crude Chronicles - Episode 126

Oil Traders Cut LongsThelatest CFTC COT institutional positioning report shows that oil traders marginallyreduced their upside exposure in oil last week. This might seem a littlesurprising given then...

Is a Bearish Pullback in Oil Overdue? Or Does it Need a Breakthrough in Russia-Ukraine Talks?

The echo of the Ukraine conflict and its sanction repercussions are heard more and more loudly in the global asset markets. As Russian trade ties with European countries are much stronger than, for...

BOC Expected To Lift Rates Today Amidst Current CAD Rally

BOC Up NextThe Bankof Canada is the next G10 central bank to take centre stage. The BOC will meetlater today for its March rates decision and the market is broadly expectingthe bank to deliver a...

RBA Cites Ukraine Uncertainty As Major New Factor

AUD in DemandThe Australian Dollar has been higher today on the back of the RBA’s March meeting, held overnight. While the bank held off from tightening its monetary policy, expectations remain...

Despite Major Escalation Markets are Still Reluctant to Price in Major Spillover Effects from the Ukraine Conflict

As geopolitical tensions increased sharply on Monday, policy tightening cycles of central banks and inflation challenges have been pushed deeper on the sidelines. The focus remains entirely on...